Negative Correlation Between Early Voting and Democratic Support?
The more people voted early, the fewer votes went to the Democratic party—statistically baffling

In its analysis of Korea’s June 3, 2025, presidential election, Lee Young-don TV uncovered a deeply counterintuitive statistical anomaly: a negative correlation between early voting rates and the Democratic Party’s vote share.

Conventional logic suggests that if Democratic supporters favor early voting, then precincts with high early turnout should show higher Democratic support. However, statistical analysis shows the opposite. In many districts, especially in the Seoul metro area and Yeongnam region, the higher the early voting rate, the lower the Democratic vote share.

This reversed pattern raises serious questions. If Democratic voters indeed dominated early voting, then such a consistent inverse relationship should not exist. Experts argue that this phenomenon could indicate artificial manipulation of early voting rates, possibly inflating participation in regions unfavorable to the Democratic Party.

The issue is compounded by the fact that this pattern wasn’t a one-time fluke—it was repeated in Korea’s 2024 general elections and even showed signs in 2020. In statistics, persistent negative correlations in data where a positive relationship is expected suggest structural abnormalities that may require further investigation.

Rather than confirming political turnout theories, this data contradiction calls into question the integrity of the early voting system itself.

Source:
※ This article is based on the YouTube video “The June 3rd Election Is Invalid” by Lee Young-don TV (uploaded June 5, 2025).